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2027 Election Pulse

Sentiment trajectory toward the 2027 Nigerian general election.
Not predictions — direction of travel.

Sentiment analysis only. Not a prediction or electoral endorsement.

Main Trajectory

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Presidential Contenders

Bola Tinubu
Sentiment Score
100 %
Stable
Peter Obi
Sentiment Score
94 %
Stable
Atiku Abubakar
Sentiment Score
50 %
Stable
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso
Sentiment Score
100 %
Stable
Rotimi Amaechi
Sentiment Score
100 %
Stable
Goodluck Jonathan
Sentiment Score
58 %
Declining
Seyi Makinde
Sentiment Score
100 %
Stable

Declared Aspirants

Hamza Al-Mustapha
Sentiment Score
100 %
Stable
Gbenga Olawepo-Hashim
Sentiment Score
100 %
Stable
Omoyele Sowore
Sentiment Score
0 %
Stable
Seyi Makinde
Sentiment Score
100 %
Stable

Key Figures to Watch

Kashim Shettima
Watching
Sentiment Score
100 %
Stable
Nyesom Wike
Watching
Sentiment Score
93 %
Rising
Nuhu Ribadu
Watching
Sentiment Score
100 %
Stable
Seyi Makinde
Watching
Sentiment Score
100 %
Stable

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Issue Momentum Index

Issues
Economy & Inflation 68% 
1,286 events tracked
Security & Defence 53% 
2,529 events tracked
Anti-Corruption 45% 
729 events tracked
Infrastructure 72% 
2,408 events tracked
Education Reform 57% 
441 events tracked
Health & Welfare 72% 
355 events tracked
Foreign Policy 64% 
575 events tracked
Electoral Reform 66% 
1,335 events tracked

Sentiment Timeline

Events
Bola Tinubu Presidential Contenders
JUN 2026
Nigerian government asserts the country is progressing positively
Cause: Nigerian Government Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Nigerian government asserts the country is progressing positively
Cause: Nigerian Government Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Senate Aims to Approve State Police Bill Within This Week, Says Opeye…
Cause: Police Reform Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Tinubu appoints Tegbe and Enikanolaiye to lead power and foreign affa…
Cause: Power Supply Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Tinubu promises Nigerians that the government will not yield to terro…
Cause: Insecurity Positive Shift
Goodluck Jonathan Presidential Contenders
JUL 2026
Goodluck Jonathan sentiment rises 3 points to 64/100
Cause: Goodluck Jonathan Positive Shift
JUL 2026
Goodluck Jonathan sentiment rises 3 points to 61/100
Cause: Goodluck Jonathan Positive Shift
JUL 2026
Goodluck Jonathan sentiment rises 3 points to 58/100
Cause: Goodluck Jonathan Positive Shift
Seyi Makinde Presidential Contenders
JUN 2026
Igboho proposes security measures for public schools in Oyo amid risi…
Cause: Ethnic/Tribal Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Seyi Makinde sentiment rises 3 points to 96/100
Cause: Seyi Makinde Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Seyi Makinde sentiment rises 3 points to 93/100
Cause: Seyi Makinde Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Mbaka urges Makinde to ensure safe return of kidnapped schoolchildren
Cause: Insecurity Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Makinde Issues Executive Order Limiting Commercial Motorcycle Activit…
Cause: Insecurity Positive Shift
Hamza Al-Mustapha Declared Aspirants
JUN 2026
Boss Mustapha affirms traditional rulers are vital for Nigeria's peac…
Cause: Boss Mustapha Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Boss Mustapha affirms traditional rulers are vital for Nigeria's peac…
Cause: Boss Mustapha Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Ilorin Emirate Leaders Reinforce Support for Saliu Mustapha's Guberna…
Cause: Campaign Positive Shift
Gbenga Olawepo-Hashim Declared Aspirants
JUN 2026
Northern supporters who backed Tinubu now endorse Olawepo-Hashim for …
Cause: Electoral Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Gbenga Olawepo-Hashim sentiment rises 4 points to 94/100
Cause: Policy Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Gbenga Olawepo-Hashim sentiment rises 4 points to 90/100
Cause: Policy Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Accord Party pledges continued backing for Gbenga Hashim's presidenti…
Cause: Electoral Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Accord Party pledges continued backing for Gbenga Hashim's presidenti…
Cause: Electoral Positive Shift
Omoyele Sowore Declared Aspirants
JUL 2026
Omoyele Sowore sentiment falls 3 points to 2/100
Cause: Omoyele Sowore Negative Shift
JUL 2026
Omoyele Sowore sentiment falls 3 points to 5/100
Cause: Omoyele Sowore Negative Shift
JUL 2026
Omoyele Sowore sentiment falls 3 points to 8/100
Cause: Omoyele Sowore Negative Shift
JUN 2026
Omoyele Sowore sentiment falls 3 points to 11/100
Cause: Omoyele Sowore Negative Shift
JUN 2026
Kuje Prison Officials Express Worries About Increased Security Forces…
Cause: Public Opinion Negative Shift
Nyesom Wike Key Figures to Watch
JUL 2026
Nyesom Wike sentiment rises 4 points to 93/100
Cause: Nyesom Wike Positive Shift
JUL 2026
Nyesom Wike sentiment rises 5 points to 90/100
Cause: Nyesom Wike Positive Shift
JUL 2026
Tinubu Commends Wike for Constructing Roads in Renewed Hope City
Cause: Infrastructure Positive Shift
JUL 2026
Tinubu Commends Wike for Constructing Roads in Renewed Hope City
Cause: Infrastructure Positive Shift
JUL 2026
PDP Responds to Akpabio, Asserts Party is Thriving and Still the Most…
Cause: Party Politics Positive Shift
Nuhu Ribadu Key Figures to Watch
JUN 2026
Mallam Nuhu Ribadu leads Nigeria’s renewed efforts in the fight aga…
Cause: Insecurity Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Mallam Nuhu Ribadu leads Nigeria’s renewed efforts in the fight aga…
Cause: Insecurity Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Nuhu Ribadu's dedicated efforts towards enhancing national security a…
Cause: Nuhu Ribadus Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Nuhu Ribadu sentiment rises 5 points to 78/100
Cause: Nuhu Ribadu Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Nuhu Ribadu sentiment rises 5 points to 73/100
Cause: Nuhu Ribadu Positive Shift

Regional Sentiment Map

Zones
South-West LEANING INCUMBENT
Opposition: 75%
Incumbent: 83%
South-West
Opposition: 75.1%
Incumbent: 82.6%
As of: 2026-07-08
South-East LEANING INCUMBENT
Opposition: 59%
Incumbent: 77%
South-East
Opposition: 58.7%
Incumbent: 77.3%
As of: 2026-07-08
South-South STRONG INCUMBENT
Opposition: 54%
Incumbent: 80%
South-South
Opposition: 54.4%
Incumbent: 79.5%
As of: 2026-07-08
North-West STRONG INCUMBENT
Opposition: 58%
Incumbent: 87%
North-West
Opposition: 58.4%
Incumbent: 87.0%
As of: 2026-07-08
North-East STRONG INCUMBENT
Opposition: 38%
Incumbent: 88%
North-East
Opposition: 37.7%
Incumbent: 88.0%
As of: 2026-07-08
North-Central STRONG INCUMBENT
Opposition: 60%
Incumbent: 81%
North-Central
Opposition: 59.7%
Incumbent: 80.6%
As of: 2026-07-08
Opposition Incumbent
Intelligence Disclaimer

All sentiment data is generated by AI analysis of public discourse, news sources, and social media signals. It does not constitute a poll or prediction. Data is indicative, not predictive.

Updated every 30 minutes from the Intelligence Tracker.  |  AI-generated analysis — not a political endorsement.